Do you know how miserable China's real economy is?? I'll just say one thing.! 20A year ago, your dad was making a monthly salary500dollars when a lighter was1$. Now you're making a monthly salary.5000It's a dollar now, a lighter or1dollars. Do you think these manufacturing bosses are crying to the point of misery?

      HM.ZARA, the best-selling women's clothing brand in mainland China. These two brands inside the Chinese market, about70%It's made in Southeast Asia, don't believe me, go to a big mall and look at the labels. And this trend will accelerate. IKEA,nike, has started moving factories to Southeast Asia. The start of the Chinese economy was very successful, Chinese peasants are willing to work hard, disciplined and hardworking. But the second step did not work, after accumulating funds in the manufacturing industry, through the four trillion dollars, the wave of speculation in real estate, eat up and use up. This is really depressing. The real economy of China has been destroyed by which yakuza??

1,taxes

unbearable social security33%Corporate income tax20%VAT17%Roughly, the tax is progressive.10%Loan interest10%And there are all sorts of fees and charges.;You can't move without being sued and fined by the section chief, and you'll have to find a lawyer to deal with it. If it's still easy, you can try running a business!

Now in Shanghai to open a smallest company, rent the smallest downtown office, labor, rent, office equipment, taxes, everything is expensive, the beginning of the annual40Million. The ten-person company will have to annually100Ten thousand. This is the minimum standard and the employees are still very unhappy with the treatment. What business does the average person have that can make money while feeding so many people? Business is really hard, no kidding. Stir-fry, one plate earns8The hand is broken, but also can not earn much. Often encountered brutal customers, nothing to pick a fight, the boss's wife has to personally rushed up to quarrel, but also brother-in-law pretending to be a punk. The small store opened, moving to be fined, health ah, advertising ah, fire ah, ah, if all know these laws and regulations, will still go to stir-fry?? Say a true story. I have a relative, one year before the Spring Festival hired a minivan, three people with six boxes of children's clothing, in the highway was stopped by the traffic police, people and goods mixed, a fine of 10,000 yuan. The two young couples do not have 10,000 yuan, can not go, before the Spring Festival, so cold days, young couples on the side of the highway crying all night, no one cares about them.

2The rising costs of all For the manufacturing sector, the main factors of production are increasing in price.

      Salary and social security, annual increase12%-15%The price of food in the cafeteria, water prices, gas prices, are rising, the rent is a long-term contract, generally also rose a little bit every year. Calculate the logistics costs again, China is full of tollbooths, products from small counties in northern Jiangsu factory, to small counties in Sichuan sales, transit three or four times, the price is basically up three times, otherwise it is a loss. In short, everything is up, the only thing is the factory price continues to fall, the small boss really want to cry.

Now the survival status of small and medium-sized enterprises: black and white oppression, sales cold to the freezing point, intellectual property protection for the0, contracts cannot be honored, and there are tollbooths everywhere. How can this reality produce a large number of quality businesses?

3, difficult to finance, difficult to get to the top As a former small business owner, I have a deep appreciation for the sweet and sour of loans.

If you were to apply for a business loan for the purpose of creating wealth for society, the countless forms and various pains will make you feel as if running a business is doing something bad. If you are speculating in real estate to get a loan, casually open a fake certificate and say you earn 40,000 dollars a month, the bank will tacitly pretend not to know and close their eyes to lend. Why banks won't lend to SMEs?The reason is simple, your business can't make a steady profit and the bank doesn't want to lend to you. Loans100It costs the same to give $10,000 to a small private enterprise as it does to lend $100 million to a large state-owned enterprise, so naturally, banks do not have the heart to pay attention to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The present situation is that small and medium enterprises (SMEs) cannot get loans, and state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have nowhere to invest the funds after getting them, so the funds are turned around in the hands of SOEs and lent to SMEs at high interest rates. The state-owned enterprises have become the second-tier traffickers of loans, and then the small bosses are stripped of a layer of skin. Small and medium-sized enterprises have suffered further, miserably and tragically.

4,Labor is going to the construction sites.

China's manufacturing industry is not competing with the manufacturing industry in Europe, America and Japan, but with the state-owned enterprises with sky-high loans to compete for financial strength of the infrastructure. Construction sites offer super-high wages, the ordinary manufacturing industry is simply unable to fight. You cultivate3Who are you going to compete with, a skilled laborer of years, who runs away at the first pay raise at a construction site??The so-called easy recruiting is about high wages or no one will come. Now an office clerk, blowing air-conditioning all the time3500+Five insurance and one gold, and most of the infrastructure construction, due to the state-led enterprises, do not consider the return on investment, and does not matter the cost of labor, the lack of people on the processing of wages, through high wages to lure the manufacturing services to the site of the bricklaying. Infrastructure funding from the loan, and does not matter to repay the loan, the manufacturing industry to consider the cost and profit, had to close the stall. Many highways pay high wages to migrant workers, but the loss itself, funny right?Once they are not printed, the high wages of migrant workers are immediately gone.

5Real estate destroys the real economy Real estate has taken over half of China's economy.

China 2015GDPbe67trillion, of which national land sale revenues are3.4Trillions of dollars. In the composition of house prices, land prices account for about30%That means real estate creates11.3trillionGDPPlus agents, renovations, appliances and furniture, estimated30%(used form a nominal expression)GDPdirectly from house prices. Also.3.4Trillions of dollars in land sale revenue, in turn pulling the Iron Duke, leveraged to at least3times, again15%GDP. One account of real estate investment inGDPThe percentage of over45%The

      But one of the biggest evils of the real estate economy is that the profits are shared by an oligarchy and everyone else is miserable. Migrant workers work hard for a 10,000 yuan monthly salary, the contractor earns20million, and turned around and gave it to the real estate developers in the old county. Since real estate siphons off all consumer funds, the people are left with only the necessities of life to consume, which leads to many products from all walks of life not being sold. 06Year-to-date, food and general industrial goods have more than doubled in price, and electronics are still coming down in price, such as computers cell phones cameras. Average manufacturing wages plus social security, combined, have risen by3Twice as much, the small bosses have fallen into an abyss of misery. Meanwhile, the employees are not getting much benefit because the extra income has all been snatched away by the property market. For nearly a decade, everyone in the entire community, at their peril, has fattened up the realtors. In fact, I do not care who has made money, whether the real estate developers have made money, whether the small bosses have made money, whether the migrant workers have made money, it does not matter. I only care whether the competitiveness of the Chinese economy has been enhanced. Now the problem is that the real estate economy does not need technology, does not need efficiency, as long as you have the ability to go to the loan, have the ability to go to the seal, you can make a lot of money, this is the worst result.

6,The Shock of the Quadrillion

China in2009Years ago, the manufacturing industry came to a crossroads, the economic crisis could have eliminated a number of backward production capacity, the rest of the bigger and stronger, and embarked on a virtuous path of development. As a result, the four trillion came, pushing up housing prices several times, entity all losers, so China's manufacturing industry back to go, to the high cost of labor, product deterioration, the scale of the workshop, the price of low prices on the road of the initial model. Sad.!Four trillion dollars revolutionized China's economic order, and now there's no going back.

      09 years before the private sector is rich, but most bosses did not go to eat, drink, whore and gamble, want to continue to research and development and innovation, to the world, that time success is very popular. Later is, the first unlucky to close the factory to buy a house, but instead of getting rich, persistent bosses, allSBUp.

7The social status is too low.

"Small private enterprises, business owners, small bosses", when you hear these words, you don't associate them with good things, only with, they are bullying workers, exploiting them, sweatshops, dirty, illegal and doing bad things. Isn't it?This is our current reality. These people, in fact, sustain China70%of employment, although workers are currently also generally fed and housed. (in the) past5In the past year, people engaged in the real economy have been ridiculed as old-fashioned by Internet and finance people. The Internet, as we all see clearly now, is all about borrowing, handing out and burning money, which last year gainedAround846Home startups are now almost finished going out of business. Finance, thanks to the introduction of higher math representations, has put the99.99%The people who are confused and have been very secretive and writing a report are also able to get annual salaries60Ten thousand. It's also clear now that it means borrowing new and paying off old, and if you can't renew it for the next installment, there's an immediate problem. Turn off the lights, it's all the same. Where to next for China's economy? Manufacturing is the mother of all industries.

      Houses are not sold to builders, profits from financial products come from the real world, and the service sector is mainly derived from the consumption of production profits, which are then traded in a circular fashion among these industries. In the past two years, the number of manufacturing workers is a massive decline, but it is not visible on the surface. Because of the new labor force, college students ran to the big cities as sales and service workers, non-college students went to construction sites.

Since Deng Xiaoping's Southern Tour speech in '93, China has had unparalleled luck. The first wave was a frantic influx of Hong Kong and Taiwan, the second wave was a wild surge in exports due to MFN status, and the third wave of foreign capital+entry into the WTO and instantly became the champion of exports, and the fourth wave was even stranger, as it was supposed to be Bush Jr. coming to find fault with the results911up, and all of a sudden the US was good friends with us again. But by now, the real world is stagnating and the housing market is going wild. What to do?? China's economy has reached the most critical moment, and every step taken now will have an extremely profound impact on the future. The last time something like this happened was1998Year.98Before the great SOE layoff in 2007, there were two possibilities at that time, either continue to print money to maintain those uncompetitive SOEs, or no more blood transfusions and SOE employees were laid off. Premier Zhu did not choose to print money, a real structural adjustment, but offended too many too many people. Premier Zhu's reforms were real and touched the soul. State-owned enterprises tens of millions of people really laid off, Beihai and Hainan's real estate bubble really burst, streamlining the organization really cut down, really into the WTO, the exchange rate really changed, the price of the two-track system really canceled. A few knives go down, knife to see red. Premier Zhu's reforms although many people's interests are damaged, but China's economy all of a sudden up. I later thought about Premier Zhu's courage to break his wrist, so many state-owned enterprises cadres and workers laid off, how much pain he has borne in his heart. 1993Years, Premier Zhu let Hainan real estate, overnight crash, offended how many powerful people, how much pressure he has borne in his heart. The reason why this nation has hope is that there are still a few such people. What about the reforms now? The good ones are basically finished, and the rest are all the items that hurt.A knife down, inevitably severe pain. When you think about today's society, the ones who are rich and famous are the only ones left: real estate developers, big state-owned enterprises, and second-generation brothers. Look who's better to talk to.?Look around and see who's willing to pay for this round of reforms?hasn't!Couldn't even fucking find one with binoculars!